Spotify Technology Valuation

SPOT Stock  USD 500.35  3.57  0.71%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Spotify Technology has a current Real Value of $597.37 per share. The regular price of the company is $500.35. Our model measures the value of Spotify Technology from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.23, shares outstanding of 205.89 M, and Operating Margin of 0.14 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Spotify Technology's valuation include:
Price Book
11.0996
Enterprise Value
95.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
43.3308
Price Sales
6.0969
Forward PE
36.9004
Undervalued
Today
500.35
Please note that Spotify Technology's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Spotify Technology is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Spotify Technology's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Spotify Technology's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 500.35, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  500.35 Real  597.37 Target  733.09 Hype  500.3 Naive  531.93
The intrinsic value of Spotify Technology's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Spotify Technology's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
450.32
Downside
597.37
Real Value
599.19
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Spotify Technology SA helps investors to forecast how Spotify stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Spotify Technology more accurately as focusing exclusively on Spotify Technology's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.392.772.35
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
498.48500.30502.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
530.11531.93533.75
Details
40 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
667.11733.09813.73
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Spotify Technology's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Spotify Technology's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Spotify Technology's closest peers.

Spotify Technology Cash

5.77 Billion

Spotify Technology Total Value Analysis

Spotify Technology SA is at this time estimated to have valuation of 95.59 B with market capitalization of 103.02 B, debt of 2 B, and cash on hands of 4.78 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Spotify Technology fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
95.59 B
103.02 B
B
4.78 B

Spotify Technology Investor Information

About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. Spotify Technology recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key measurements obtained from Spotify Technology's financial statements, Spotify Technology SA is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.

Spotify Technology Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Spotify Technology has an asset utilization ratio of 130.56 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.31 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Spotify Technology SA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Spotify Technology Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Spotify Technology's financial statements, Spotify Technology SA is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Spotify Technology's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2016-03-31
Previous Quarter
-86 M
Current Value
899 M
Quarterly Volatility
265.3 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Spotify Technology's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.08 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.18 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.180.27
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For Spotify Technology profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Spotify Technology to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Spotify Technology utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Spotify Technology's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Spotify Technology over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Spotify Technology Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Spotify Technology is estimated to be 2.77 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.38625 to a high of 2.35. Spotify Technology's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 8.01. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Spotify Technology SA is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Spotify Technology is projected to generate 2.77 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Spotify Technology earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Spotify Technology EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Spotify Technology's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Spotify Technology, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Spotify Technology Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Spotify Technology's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Spotify Technology is estimated to be 2.77 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.38625 to a high of 2.35. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Spotify Technology SA is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
3.28
1.39
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.77
2.35
Highest

Spotify Technology Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Spotify Technology's value are higher than the current market price of the Spotify Technology stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Spotify Technology is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Spotify Technology's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
4148.92%
3.28
2.77
8.01

Spotify Technology Ownership Allocation

Spotify Technology shows a total of 205.89 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Spotify Technology's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional holders are typically referred to as corporate investors that take positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. On September 12, 2025, Representative Valerie Hoyle of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Spotify Technology's common stock.

Spotify Technology Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 15.67 B. Net Income was 1.14 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.38 B.

About Spotify Technology Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Spotify Technology's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Spotify Technology based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Spotify Technology. We calculate exposure to Spotify Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Spotify Technology's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit5.4 B5.7 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.27  0.18 

Spotify Technology Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Spotify Technology does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding207 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.265
Forward Price Earnings36.9004

Spotify Technology Current Valuation Indicators

Spotify Technology's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Spotify Technology's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Spotify Technology, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Spotify Technology's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Spotify Technology's worth.

Additional Tools for Spotify Stock Analysis

When running Spotify Technology's price analysis, check to measure Spotify Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spotify Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Spotify Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spotify Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spotify Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spotify Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.